Hertha BSC vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

PEN

DFB Pokal

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

96' Y. Suzuki
104' F. Reese

10 Feb 2026

20:45

Olympiastadion

Score Summary

Hertha BSC

0 0

PEN HT 0–0

SC Freiburg

F. Reese 104'

96' Y. Suzuki

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Hertha BSC 1554 1554 ▼ 0

49% Win

SC Freiburg 1549 1549 ▲ 0

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Hertha BSC -0.19 -0.06 ▲ 0.13

36% Win

SC Freiburg 0.17 0.12 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Tjark Ernst

Hertha BSC

9.9

9.9 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Fabian Reese

Hertha BSC

8.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Yuito Suzuki

SC Freiburg

9.0

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Toni Leistner

Hertha BSC

6.5

2 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Hertha BSC 33% SC Freiburg 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

11 Shots 18

4 On Target 8

Form Context

Hertha BSC

D W W D

SC Freiburg

W W W D L

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SC Freiburg produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.0%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 33.6%

Expected Goals 1.69 - 1.51

Qualification %

Hertha BSC 57.1%

SC Freiburg 42.9%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	0-0	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC	0-0	8	D W W D

52 Possession 48

4 Shots 8

11 Shots 18

2 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 7

4 Shots On Goal 8

11 Total Shots 18

52 Ball Possession 48

444 Passes Accurate 431

563 Total Passes 524

79% Passes % 82%

1 Blocked Shots 3

7 Goalkeeper Saves 3

14 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 5

8 Shots Insidebox 13

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Hertha BSC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dawid Kownacki	0	2	-	-	24	14	1	1	False	80	9	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Fabian Reese	0	2	2	1	13	6	2	1	False	120	11	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	30	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Jan Luca Schuler	1	-	-	-	9	6	2	-	False	40	18	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jeremy Dudziak	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	21	28	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Brooks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josip Brekalo	0	1	1	1	7	4	-	-	False	40	7	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Julian Eitschberger	0	-	2	-	12	6	2	1	False	116	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	2	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	4
👤 Kevin Sessa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Jensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Linus Gechter	0	1	3	-	14	7	1	-	False	120	44	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	-	78	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Marius Gersbeck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marten Winkler	0	1	-	1	7	5	-	2	False	80	22	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	1	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Michaël Cuisance	0	4	1	3	13	5	2	-	False	120	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	38	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Michał Karbownik	0	2	1	1	8	3	-	2	False	120	33	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Márton Dárdai	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	120	31	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	66	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Pascal Klemens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	4	41	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Seguin	1	2	-	2	13	8	2	-	True	120	30	M	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	54	2	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Sebastian Grønning	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Ernst	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	120	1	G	9.9	False	0	1	7	-	-	49	-	59	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toni Leistner	1	-	-	-	10	8	2	1	False	99	37	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	1	5	2

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	42	30	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	4	22	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	5	1	2	14	4	1	-	False	63	7	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	21	G	8.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	26	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	0	-	1	-	18	6	2	3	False	113	31	F	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	2	11	-	-	-	1	4	-	2	2
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	0	1	2	1	8	4	1	-	False	116	19	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Johan Manzambi	0	2	1	1	13	7	-	1	False	42	44	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	2	-	1	7	3	-	1	False	78	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Lucas Höler	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	9	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	0	-	-	-	12	5	-	1	False	120	28	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	1	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Max Rosenfelder	0	2	-	2	14	9	1	2	False	120	37	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	-	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	0	-	1	-	10	4	-	-	True	120	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	0	-	1	-	11	5	-	2	False	78	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Philipp Treu	0	-	1	-	12	6	2	2	False	120	29	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	1	1	-	1	4	3	1	-	False	57	32	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	4	-	3	11	6	1	1	False	120	14	M	9	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	4	31	-	-	-	3	4	1	1	2

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Hertha BSC and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	0-0	5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC	0-0	4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Hertha BSC

57.1%

SC Freiburg

42.9%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.0%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

33.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Hertha BSC 1.69

SC Freiburg 1.51

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Hertha BSC

SC Freiburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)