Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

34' I. Maza

02 Dec 2025

21:00

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Bayer Leverkusen

34' I. Maza

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1562 1552 ▼ -10

49% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1553 1563 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.46 0.66 ▲ 0.20

29% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.24 0.54 ▲ 0.30

Top Performers

Top Rated

Emre Can

Borussia Dortmund

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ibrahim Maza

Bayer Leverkusen

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

6.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Emre Can

Borussia Dortmund

8.3

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 67% Bayer Leverkusen 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

20 Shots 6

4 On Target 2

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W D L

Bayer Leverkusen

W W W W L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 53.1%

Draw 23.9%

Away Win 23.0%

Expected Goals 1.96 - 1.24

Qualification %

Borussia Dortmund 0.0%

Bayer Leverkusen 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0-1	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

58 Possession 42

4 Shots 2

20 Shots 6

1 Offsides 4

12 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 2

20 Total Shots 6

58 Ball Possession 42

459 Passes Accurate 350

538 Total Passes 426

85% Passes % 82%

4 Blocked Shots 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

5 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

11 Corner Kicks 0

11 Shots Insidebox 5

9 Shots Outsidebox 1

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aarón Anselmino	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	6	-	4	10	5	-	-	False	67	17	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	1	-	-	7	1	-	-	False	86	24	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	3	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Emre Can	1	1	1	1	12	10	1	2	True	90	23	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	1	80	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	6
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	1	False	74	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	37	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Fábio Silva	0	1	-	1	7	3	-	1	False	67	21	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	2	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	27	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	1	1	-	1	8	4	1	1	False	90	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	52	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Julian Brandt	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	23	10	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	2	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	3	-	-	6	-	1	-	False	67	26	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	10	1	4	16	8	-	2	False	90	27	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	33	-	-	-	-	5	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	1	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	23	14	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	2	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	1	77	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	16	13	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	5	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	23	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	1	-	2	-	13	9	2	1	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	78	-	82	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	4
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	-	2	-	7	4	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	65	2	69	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	2	1	1	7	4	-	1	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	36	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Alejo Sarco	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	2	1	1	12	3	1	1	False	61	35	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	2	7	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Claudio Echeverri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	1	-	11	7	1	-	False	90	12	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	39	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	4	1	2	10	4	1	-	False	83	19	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	1	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	3	5	1	20	7	2	-	False	90	30	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	1	25	1	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	5
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	1	-	6	5	-	-	False	89	7	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	5	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	1	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	29	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mark Flekken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	4	-	-	27	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	61	11	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nathan Tella	0	2	1	-	6	2	-	2	False	15	23	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	29	14	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	1	-	-	-	7	4	2	-	True	90	8	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	39	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0-1	5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund	0-1	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Borussia Dortmund

0.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.1%

Home Win

23.9%

Draw

23.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.96

Bayer Leverkusen 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)