Bayern München vs RB Leipzig - Football Platform

DFB Pokal

RB Leipzig

64' H. Kane
67' L. Diaz

11 Feb 2026

20:45

Allianz Arena

Score Summary

Bayern München

2 0

FT HT 0–0

RB Leipzig

H. Kane 64'
L. Diaz 67'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

64% Win

Bayern München 1646 1653 ▲ 7

36% Win

RB Leipzig 1547 1540 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

65% Win

Bayern München 1.45 1.57 ▲ 0.12

26% Win

RB Leipzig 0.16 0.47 ▲ 0.32

Top Performers

Top Rated

Michael Olise

Bayern München

7.7

7.7 rating · 97 min

Most Clinical

Luis Díaz

Bayern München

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

7.7

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Castello Lukeba

RB Leipzig

6.3

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayern München 88% RB Leipzig 12%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

12 Shots 7

7 On Target 1

Form Context

Bayern München

W W W W W

RB Leipzig

W W W L

Smart Insight

Bayern München controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayern München generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.7%

Draw 22.9%

Away Win 19.4%

Expected Goals 2.06 - 1.14

Qualification %

Bayern München 100.0%

RB Leipzig 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-0	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig	2-0	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

59 Possession 41

7 Shots 1

12 Shots 7

3 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 1

12 Total Shots 7

59 Ball Possession 41

525 Passes Accurate 338

583 Total Passes 400

90% Passes % 85%

1 Blocked Shots 3

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

11 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 6

10 Shots Insidebox 5

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	1	-	1	-	6	2	2	2	False	80	45	M	6.9	False	-	-	-	-	69	1	74	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Alphonso Davies	0	1	1	-	9	3	3	1	False	94	19	D	7.5	False	-	-	-	1	31	1	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Dayot Upamecano	0	1	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	97	2	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	71	-	79	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Harry Kane	0	3	-	2	8	5	-	3	False	97	9	F	7	False	-	-	1	-	14	-	23	-	-	1	-	4	5	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	3	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamal Musiala	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	28	10	M	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	97	4	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	70	-	73	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	97	6	M	7	False	-	-	-	-	80	-	88	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josip Stanišić	1	-	1	-	7	5	1	2	False	69	44	D	7.7	False	-	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	1	2	-	7	3	1	-	False	28	27	M	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Lennart Karl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	17	8	M	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Díaz	0	2	2	-	9	-	1	-	False	97	14	M	7.5	False	-	-	1	1	40	1	45	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	True	97	1	G	7.2	False	-	1	-	-	31	-	37	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	0	4	1	1	12	6	1	3	False	97	17	M	7.7	False	1	-	-	1	45	3	48	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	-	False	69	7	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Tom Bischof	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	3	-	1	8	2	-	1	False	78	7	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	2	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	19	10	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	94	23	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	58	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	1	-	-	-	6	2	4	-	False	89	14	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	1	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Conrad Harder	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	19	11	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	1	1	1	6	3	2	-	True	97	22	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	48	3	53	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	2
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	3	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	19	6	M	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	97	26	G	6.9	False	-	2	4	-	-	30	-	42	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	1	-	1	-	9	3	3	1	False	97	13	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	2	False	97	17	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Rômulo	1	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	78	40	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	11	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	27	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	97	4	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	47	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	1	False	78	24	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Yan Diomande	0	8	-	8	16	13	-	4	False	97	49	F	7.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Bayern München and RB Leipzig

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-0	5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig	2-0	4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Bayern München

100.0%

RB Leipzig

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.7%

Home Win

22.9%

Draw

19.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayern München 2.06

RB Leipzig 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayern München

RB Leipzig

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)