RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Magdeburg - Football Platform

DFB Pokal

1. FC Magdeburg

02 Dec 2025

21:00

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

3 1

FT HT 2–1

1. FC Magdeburg

11' S. Gnaka

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

61% Win

RB Leipzig 1550 1558 ▲ 8

39% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1473 1465 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

51% Win

RB Leipzig 0.22 0.47 ▲ 0.25

33% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.11 0.21 ▲ 0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

9.2

9.2 rating · 88 min

Most Clinical

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

7.3

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Silas Gnaka

1. FC Magdeburg

7.5

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 77% 1. FC Magdeburg 23%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

15 Shots 11

10 On Target 3

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W L

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig controlled momentum for most phases of play.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.7%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 28.3%

Expected Goals 1.82 - 1.38

Qualification %

RB Leipzig 100.0%

1. FC Magdeburg 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig	3-1	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

50 Possession 50

10 Shots 3

15 Shots 11

2 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 3

10 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 11

50 Ball Possession 50

428 Passes Accurate 417

490 Total Passes 492

87% Passes % 85%

3 Blocked Shots 5

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

7 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

2 Corner Kicks 8

10 Shots Insidebox 7

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Haidara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	2	33	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	3	-	2	8	5	-	1	False	82	7	M	9.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	21	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	90	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	2	-	1	13	8	1	3	False	88	14	M	9.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	28	1	37	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Harder	0	5	-	-	14	5	1	1	False	90	11	F	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	5	6	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	True	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	2	51	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	1	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	45	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	45	19	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leopold Zingerle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	16	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	1	19	1	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	26	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	37	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	35	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	13	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	40	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	1
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samba Konaté	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	1	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	24	27	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	45	24	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yan Diomande	0	6	-	2	10	5	-	1	False	66	49	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	2	2	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	31	1	39	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Andi Hoti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	1	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	90	23	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	55	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	3	6	-	-	47	-	52	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	1	2	-	-	11	6	2	2	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	41	-	-	0	1	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Herbert Bockhorn	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	31	7	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kandet Diawara	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	39	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	2	False	71	8	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	29	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	-	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	82	19	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marcus Mathisen	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	45	16	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	59	22	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	45	28	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	31	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	59	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	19	29	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	2	-	11	5	2	1	False	90	25	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	56	-	60	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	3	3
👤 Tobias Müller	1	-	-	-	7	6	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	68	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	5

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and 1. FC Magdeburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig	3-1	4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg	3-1	3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

RB Leipzig

100.0%

1. FC Magdeburg

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.7%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

28.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.82

1. FC Magdeburg 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

1. FC Magdeburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)