VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

AET

DFB Pokal

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

23 Apr 2026

20:45

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

2 1

AET HT 0–1

SC Freiburg

Deniz Undav 70'
Tiago Tomás 119'

28' Maximilian Eggestein

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1565 1575 ▲ 10

50% Win

SC Freiburg 1564 1554 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.51 0.48 ▼ -0.03

29% Win

SC Freiburg 0.22 0.12 ▼ -0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Angelo Stiller

VfB Stuttgart

8.7

8.7 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Tiago Tomás

VfB Stuttgart

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Deniz Undav

VfB Stuttgart

8.3

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jeff Chabot

VfB Stuttgart

8.2

5 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 64% SC Freiburg 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

29 Shots 17

9 On Target 5

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

D W W W W

SC Freiburg

W W W D L

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 23.0%

Away Win 39.5%

Qualification %

VfB Stuttgart 100.0%

SC Freiburg 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart	2-1	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	2-1	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

66 Possession 34

9 Shots 5

29 Shots 17

3 Offsides 2

15 Shots Off Goal 4

9 Shots On Goal 5

29 Total Shots 17

66 Ball Possession 34

573 Passes Accurate 253

697 Total Passes 365

82% Passes % 69%

5 Blocked Shots 8

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

20 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 5

9 Corner Kicks 4

21 Shots Insidebox 13

8 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	33	G	7.2	False	0	1	3	-	-	28	-	51	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	-	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	120	6	M	8.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	89	1	102	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	4
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	1	1	-	24	13	3	2	True	120	16	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	55	2	65	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	3
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	27	F	-	True	1	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	0	4	-	1	7	2	1	-	False	57	11	M	7.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	36	3	39	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	-
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Führich	0	4	-	2	7	4	-	-	False	118	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	2	54	-	-	-	1	5	-	-	1
👤 Dan-Axel Zagadou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Deniz Undav	0	3	-	2	20	8	5	1	False	118	26	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	30	5	46	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	-
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	1	1	-	11	3	2	1	False	90	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	1	20	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Leweling	1	2	2	2	11	7	1	3	False	120	18	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	5	45	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Jeff Chabot	0	-	1	-	25	14	1	3	False	120	24	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	80	-	-	-	-	1	4	4	5
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	4	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	22	14	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	3	-	-	14	6	4	-	False	120	7	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	76	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Nikolas Nartey	1	1	1	1	7	3	1	1	False	63	28	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	1	-	-	-	9	6	2	2	False	98	3	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Tiago Tomás	1	-	1	-	7	4	-	2	False	30	8	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	1	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	11	43	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	19	30	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	2	False	49	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	120	21	G	8.5	False	0	2	7	-	-	25	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	1	2	1	1	31	15	5	1	False	84	31	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	2	22	-	-	-	1	3	1	-	3
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	0	3	1	1	14	7	-	3	False	102	19	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	2	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Johan Manzambi	1	6	1	2	18	11	1	6	False	120	44	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jordy Makengo	1	1	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	101	33	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Lucas Höler	1	-	1	-	7	1	1	-	False	36	9	F	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	17	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	0	1	-	-	14	9	-	2	False	120	28	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	2	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	5	-
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	0	1	1	-	12	3	1	1	False	120	8	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	1	33	-	-	-	2	2	1	2	1
👤 Maximilian Philipp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Lienhart	0	1	1	-	10	7	1	1	False	120	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Philipp Treu	0	1	2	1	13	8	1	2	False	113	29	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	1	2	1	-	4	1	1	-	True	71	32	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	3	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	5	-	2	13	6	1	-	False	120	14	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	3	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart	2-1	5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen		5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg	2-1	5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

VfB Stuttgart

100.0%

SC Freiburg

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 23.0%

Away Win 39.5%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.7%

Home Win

23.8%

Draw

22.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.97

SC Freiburg 1.23

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

SC Freiburg

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)