Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München

DFB Pokal

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

22' H. Kane
90' L. Diaz

22 Apr 2026

20:45

BayArena

Stadium

BayArena

Leverkusen, Germany

Capacity: 30210 Surface: grass Address: Bismarckstr. 122-124

Score Summary

Bayer Leverkusen

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Bayern München

22' H. Kane
90' L. Diaz

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

29% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1568 1562 ▼ -6

71% Win

Bayern München 1721 1727 ▲ 6

xPi Expected win probability

33% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.62 0.54 ▼ -0.08

51% Win

Bayern München 1.61 1.57 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mark Flekken

Bayer Leverkusen

9.3

9.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Harry Kane

Bayern München

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Jamal Musiala

Bayern München

6.6

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Exequiel Palacios

Bayer Leverkusen

7.2

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayer Leverkusen 8% Bayern München 92%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

4 Shots 20

1 On Target 11

Form Context

Bayer Leverkusen

W W W W L

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayern München produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 32.1%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 42.5%

Qualification %

Bayer Leverkusen 0.0%

Bayern München 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	0-2	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		8	D W W D

47 Possession 53

1 Shots 11

4 Shots 20

0 Offsides 3

1 Shots Off Goal 5

1 Shots On Goal 11

4 Total Shots 20

47 Ball Possession 53

436 Passes Accurate 514

508 Total Passes 580

86% Passes % 89%

2 Blocked Shots 4

8 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 6

4 Shots Insidebox 15

0 Shots Outsidebox 5

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	3	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	69	-	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	1	2	1	1	8	4	2	-	False	90	20	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	54	1	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	1	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	12	D	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	61	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	2	-	1	7	4	-	1	False	51	19	F	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Exequiel Palacios	0	-	-	-	11	7	3	2	False	90	25	M	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	66	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	3	-	2	10	6	2	2	False	90	30	F	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	46	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Vazquez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	39	21	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	6	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mark Flekken	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	9.3	False	-	1	7	-	-	23	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	13	42	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nathan Tella	0	2	-	1	11	5	2	4	False	77	23	F	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	1	-	-	8	4	-	1	False	90	14	F	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	True	84	8	D	7.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	42	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Tim Oermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	1	-	-	-	8	3	3	1	False	73	45	M	6.3	False	-	-	-	-	62	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alphonso Davies	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	16	19	D	6.5	True	-	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	0	1	1	-	12	7	1	-	False	90	2	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	53	-	56	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	4
👤 Deniz Ofli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	90	9	F	7.6	False	-	-	1	-	14	3	18	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamal Musiala	0	2	1	-	7	4	-	2	False	84	10	M	6.6	False	1	-	-	-	32	5	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	48	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	-	2	-	6	4	-	3	False	90	6	M	7.7	False	-	-	-	-	95	1	110	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Josip Stanišić	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	44	D	6.2	False	-	-	-	-	41	1	46	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	6	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	0	-	-	-	7	2	5	-	False	74	27	D	6.5	False	-	-	-	1	36	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	17	8	M	6.5	True	-	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Luis Díaz	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	14	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	1	28	2	34	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	-	1	-	-	22	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	0	5	-	2	10	5	1	2	False	90	17	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	55	5	64	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	0-2	5	5	0	0	14	5	9	15	W W W W W
2	VfB Stuttgart		5	4	1	0	12	4	8	13	D W W W W
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	5	4	0	1	12	4	8	12	W W W W L
4	SC Freiburg		5	3	1	1	8	3	5	10	W W W D L
5	RB Leipzig		4	3	0	1	11	6	5	9	W W W L
6	Hertha BSC		4	2	2	0	9	1	8	8	D W W D
7	Hamburger SV		3	2	1	0	3	1	2	7	W W D
8	Holstein Kiel		4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	W W D L
9	Union Berlin		3	2	0	1	9	4	5	6	W W L
10	1. FC Kaiserslautern		3	2	0	1	9	6	3	6	W W L
11	1. FC Magdeburg		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
12	SV Darmstadt 98		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach		3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	W W L
14	VfL Bochum		3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	W W L
15	FC St. Pauli		4	1	2	1	3	5	-2	5	D D W L
16	Eintracht Frankfurt		2	1	1	0	6	1	5	4	W D
17	1899 Hoffenheim		2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4	W D
18	Borussia Dortmund		3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	W D L
19	VfL Wolfsburg		2	1	0	1	9	1	8	3	W L
20	1. FC Heidenheim		2	1	0	1	5	1	4	3	W L
21	Karlsruher SC		2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	W L
22	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
23	FC Augsburg		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
24	SC Paderborn 07		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
25	Fortuna Düsseldorf		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
26	Arminia Bielefeld		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
27	FSV Mainz 05		2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	W L
28	1. FC Köln		2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	W L
29	Energie Cottbus		2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	W L
30	SV Elversberg		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
31	FC Schalke 04		2	1	0	1	1	4	-3	3	W L
32	1. FC Nürnberg		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
33	Eintracht Braunschweig		1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	D
34	Eintracht Norderstedt		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
35	Preußen Münster		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
36	Illertissen		2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1	D L
37	Atlas Delmenhorst		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
38	SV Wehen		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
39	Pirmasens		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
40	VfB Lübeck		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
41	SSV Jahn Regensburg		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
42	Werder Bremen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
43	Hannover 96		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
44	Lokomotive Leipzig		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
45	SSV Ulm 1846		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
46	Dynamo Dresden		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
47	Rot-Weiß Essen		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
48	SV Sandhausen		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
49	FC Schweinfurt 05		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
50	FC Saarbrücken		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
51	BFC Dynamo		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
52	FC Viktoria Köln		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
53	Sportfreunde Lotte		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
54	BW Lohne		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
55	Hallescher FC		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
56	FC 08 Homburg		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
57	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
58	Hansa Rostock		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
59	FC Gutersloh		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
60	Bahlinger SC		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
61	FV Engers 07		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
62	ZFC Meuselwitz		1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	L
63	RSV Eintracht		1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	L
64	Hemelingen		1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0	L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Bayer Leverkusen

0.0%

Bayern München

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 32.1%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 42.5%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

24.7%

Home Win

24.3%

Draw

51.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayer Leverkusen 1.29

Bayern München 1.91

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern München

BayArena

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)