Real Ávila vs Rayo Vallecano - Football Platform

AET

Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

04 Dec 2025

19:00

Score Summary

Real Ávila

1 2

AET HT 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

C. Pascual 50'

90' I. Palazon
120' A. Garcia

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Real Ávila 1505 1500 ▼ -5

50% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1503 1513 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

Real Ávila 0.00 0.01 ▲ 0.01

36% Win

Rayo Vallecano 0.06 0.04 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ivan Balliu

Rayo Vallecano

7.9

7.9 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Carlos Pascual

Real Ávila

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Markel Ruiz

Real Ávila

7.5

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Gerard Urbina

Real Ávila

6.5

2 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Ávila 62% Rayo Vallecano 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

24 Possession 76

18 Shots 14

5 On Target 3

Form Context

Real Ávila

W L

Rayo Vallecano

W W W L

Smart Insight

Real Ávila controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Ávila generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Rayo Vallecano after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.3%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

Real Ávila 0.0%

Rayo Vallecano 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

24 Possession 76

5 Shots 3

18 Shots 14

0 Offsides 4

7 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 3

18 Total Shots 14

24 Ball Possession 76

152 Passes Accurate 671

244 Total Passes 773

62% Passes % 87%

6 Blocked Shots 7

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

15 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 11

12 Shots Insidebox 6

6 Shots Outsidebox 8

1.68 expected_goals 1.32

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Real Ávila — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adri Carrión	0	4	-	3	7	5	1	-	False	59	10	F	7	True	0	0	-	0	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Carlos Pascual	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	True	118	5	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	2	1	1
👤 Carlos Pérez	0	1	1	-	9	6	1	1	False	71	12	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	14	2	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Diego Alvarez	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	61	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	13	1	17	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Fernando Díaz	0	3	2	1	14	7	3	1	False	120	22	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	4
👤 Filipe Sissé	1	3	-	2	14	6	3	-	False	49	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	0	-	6	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Gerard Urbina	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	120	23	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	0	-	14	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	2
👤 Gonzalo Serrano	0	2	-	1	15	5	2	-	False	59	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	0	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Doumbia	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	120	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	6	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	2
👤 Jean Lauture	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	37	4	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mamadou Sarr	0	-	1	-	8	5	-	1	False	61	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	5	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Mario Camero	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	2	14	D	-	True	0	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markel Ruiz	0	1	2	1	11	7	1	3	False	83	16	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	0	-	15	3	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Michael Ngaah	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	38	3	D	6	True	0	0	-	0	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Runy	0	2	1	1	11	4	2	2	False	82	7	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	0	-	9	2	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Samuel Rodriguez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	120	13	G	5.9	False	0	2	1	0	-	13	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vitolo	1	4	1	2	16	7	2	4	False	120	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	0	-	21	2	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrei Rațiu	0	3	1	1	12	7	-	3	False	49	2	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	0	1	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	4	0	-	26	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	24	24	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	0	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Pérez	0	6	1	4	13	7	-	1	False	120	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	35	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	58	15	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	30	3	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Isi Palazón	0	2	4	1	17	7	3	2	False	120	7	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	60	2	72	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	-	1	-	10	8	1	3	False	120	20	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	79	1	86	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	2	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	62	19	F	7.3	True	1	0	-	0	-	13	1	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	62	3	D	7	True	0	0	-	0	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	3	-	2	6	3	1	-	False	58	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luiz Felipe	1	-	1	-	15	10	1	3	False	120	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	100	-	112	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	0	1	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	96	6	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	0	-	75	2	85	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	-
👤 Samu Becerra	0	1	1	-	10	4	2	2	False	59	28	M	6	False	0	0	-	0	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Sergio Camello	0	2	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	58	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	1	11	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Unai López	0	1	3	-	6	1	1	-	False	61	17	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	0	-	62	1	75	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Álvaro García	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	62	18	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	1	14	2	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	2	-	1	11	5	2	-	True	71	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	45	1	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Real Ávila and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano	1-2	4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila	1-2	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Real Ávila

0.0%

Rayo Vallecano

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Ávila 1.62

Rayo Vallecano 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Ávila

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)