Burgos vs Valencia - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Valencia

10' Rubo
50' U. Sadiq

15 Jan 2026

21:00

Municipal El Plantio

Score Summary

Burgos

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Valencia

10' Rubo
50' U. Sadiq

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Burgos 1515 1510 ▼ -5

47% Win

Valencia 1496 1507 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Burgos 0.01 -0.01 ▼ -0.02

33% Win

Valencia 0.05 0.17 ▲ 0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rubén Iranzo

Valencia

8.0

8.0 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Rubén Iranzo

Valencia

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Largie Ramazani

Valencia

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Eray Cömert

Valencia

7.0

2 tackles · 6 interceptions

Match Momentum

Burgos 40% Valencia 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

10 Shots 6

2 On Target 3

Form Context

Burgos

W W W L

Valencia

W W W W L

Smart Insight

Valencia carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Burgos generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Valencia after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.6%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 32.3%

Expected Goals 1.74 - 1.49

Qualification %

Burgos 0.0%

Valencia 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	0-2	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

49 Possession 51

2 Shots 3

10 Shots 6

4 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 2

2 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 6

49 Ball Possession 51

340 Passes Accurate 387

426 Total Passes 468

80% Passes % 83%

3 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 1

6 Shots Insidebox 3

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.93 expected_goals 0.80

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Burgos — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aitor Buñuel	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	46	15	D	6.2	False	0	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Aitor Córdoba	1	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	True	90	18	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	53	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Brais Martínez	0	2	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	19	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 David González	0	2	2	1	8	5	-	1	False	60	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Fermín García	0	2	1	1	7	3	1	-	False	81	31	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	17	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	1
👤 Iñigo Cordoba	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	30	21	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	12	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jesús Ruiz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	2	1	-	11	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Appin	0	1	1	-	5	1	-	1	False	30	10	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcelo Expósito	0	1	2	1	9	3	2	-	False	90	33	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	36	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mario González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	20	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Mateo Mejia	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	1	False	60	7	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Miguel Atienza	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	44	5	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	29	1	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Saúl del Cerro	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	28	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	48	-	56	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Sergio González	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	46	6	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	26	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Víctor Mollejo	1	1	-	-	12	5	3	2	False	90	11	F	6.9	False	0	-	4	15	3	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Álex Lizancos	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	44	2	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	28	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 André Almeida	0	1	1	1	4	2	-	-	False	64	10	M	7	False	1	-	0	-	24	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Arnaut Danjuma	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	17	7	F	6.9	True	0	-	0	-	5	1	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Baptiste Santamaria	0	1	1	-	8	5	-	2	False	90	22	M	7	False	0	-	0	-	44	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 César Tárrega	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	True	46	5	D	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	37	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Diego López	1	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	73	16	M	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	11	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Dimitri Foulquier	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	20	D	6.6	True	0	-	0	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Eray Cömert	0	1	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	24	D	7	False	0	-	0	-	50	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	2
👤 Hugo Duro	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	26	9	F	6.5	True	0	-	0	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Guerra	0	4	-	3	7	5	1	1	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	-	0	-	59	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	5	-	2	11	5	2	1	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 José Copete	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	2	False	44	3	D	7.2	True	0	-	0	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Largie Ramazani	0	4	1	1	7	2	1	-	False	90	17	M	6.9	False	1	-	0	-	19	3	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luis Rioja	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	26	11	F	6.7	True	0	-	0	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rubén Iranzo	1	-	1	-	9	3	1	-	False	82	26	D	8	False	0	-	1	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Stole Dimitrievski	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	2	0	-	17	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umar Sadiq	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	64	6	F	6.9	False	0	-	1	-	17	-	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Burgos and Valencia

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	0-2	5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos	0-2	4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Burgos

0.0%

Valencia

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.6%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

32.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Burgos 1.74

Valencia 1.49

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Burgos

Valencia

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)