Extremadura 1924 vs Sevilla - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Sevilla

04 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio Francisco de la Hera

Stadium

Estadio Francisco de la Hera

Almendralejo

Score Summary

Extremadura 1924

1 2

FT HT 0–2

Sevilla

G. Zarfino 48'

31' A. Gonzalez
38' I. Romero

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Extremadura 1924 1505 1500 ▼ -5

47% Win

Sevilla 1485 1496 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Extremadura 1924 0.00 -0.03 ▼ -0.04

31% Win

Sevilla -0.34 -0.37 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Giovanni Zarfino

Extremadura 1924

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Giovanni Zarfino

Extremadura 1924

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Oso

Sevilla

6.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Ángel Cano

Extremadura 1924

6.3

3 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Extremadura 1924 40% Sevilla 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

10 Shots 14

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Extremadura 1924

W L

Sevilla

W W L

Smart Insight

Sevilla carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Sevilla produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Sevilla after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.3%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

Extremadura 1924 0.0%

Sevilla 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

35 Possession 65

4 Shots 6

10 Shots 14

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 14

35 Ball Possession 65

194 Passes Accurate 441

280 Total Passes 539

69% Passes % 82%

0 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 20

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 5

7 Shots Insidebox 6

3 Shots Outsidebox 8

1.48 expected_goals 1.56

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Extremadura 1924 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alfonso Peral	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	2	15	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 David Pinto Robador	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	4	0	-	16	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Diaz	0	4	-	1	9	3	-	1	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	0	-	11	3	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Fran Rosales	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	22	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	0	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Giovanni Zarfino	0	1	-	1	21	9	1	5	False	90	8	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	3	3	1	-	1
👤 Imanol Barace	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	25	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	0	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juanmi Callejón	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	True	46	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Luis Morcillo	0	-	1	-	9	7	-	1	False	78	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	2
👤 Marco	0	4	-	1	13	8	-	4	False	90	11	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	0	-	21	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Miguel Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	14	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robe Moreno	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	44	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	0	-	4	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Róber	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	90	4	D	6	False	0	0	-	0	-	39	-	54	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Samuel Hurtado	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	65	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	0	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Tala	0	2	1	1	6	3	1	1	False	88	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Usama Arhoun	0	3	-	3	6	5	-	2	False	65	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ángel Cano	1	-	-	-	7	6	1	2	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	3

Sevilla — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexis Sánchez	0	1	1	-	8	3	1	2	False	90	10	F	7	False	0	0	-	0	1	21	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Alfon González	0	1	1	-	6	1	2	-	False	64	17	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Chidera Ejuke	0	1	-	1	8	4	1	1	False	26	21	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	0	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Djibril Sow	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	26	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	0	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Cardoso	0	-	2	-	8	3	3	1	False	90	15	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	57	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Isaac Romero	1	2	-	1	10	4	4	2	False	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	2	4	-	2	1
👤 Joan Jordán	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	64	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	44	2	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 José Ángel Carmona	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	56	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	0	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Juanlu Sánchez	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	34	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	20	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Kike Salas	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	62	-	79	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Lucien Agoumé	0	1	-	-	11	2	3	1	False	90	18	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	0	-	29	2	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nemanja Gudelj	1	-	-	-	7	2	3	-	True	90	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	0	-	44	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Oso	0	3	2	1	8	2	1	-	False	90	36	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	54	4	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ørjan Nyland	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	8.2	False	0	1	3	0	-	28	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Extremadura 1924 and Sevilla

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla	1-2	3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924	1-2	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Extremadura 1924

0.0%

Sevilla

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Extremadura 1924 1.62

Sevilla 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Extremadura 1924

Sevilla

Estadio Francisco de la Hera

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)