Zaragoza vs Burgos - Football Platform

AET

Copa del Rey

Burgos

116' M. Gonzalez

04 Dec 2025

21:00

Ibercaja Stadium

Score Summary

Zaragoza

0 1

AET HT 0–0

Burgos

116' M. Gonzalez

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Zaragoza 1505 1500 ▼ -5

50% Win

Burgos 1505 1510 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Zaragoza 0.00 0.00 — N/A

36% Win

Burgos 0.00 -0.01 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

No standout performer yet

Most Clinical

Mario González

Burgos

1 goals

Best Creator

Mario Cantero

Burgos

0 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

No standout performer yet

Match Momentum

Zaragoza 50% Burgos 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

0 Shots 0

0 On Target 0

Form Context

Zaragoza

W L

Burgos

W W W L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Burgos after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.3%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.3%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.61

Qualification %

Zaragoza 0.0%

Burgos 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

50 Possession 50

0 Shots 0

N/A Offsides N/A

0 Shots Off Goal 0

0 Shots On Goal 0

0 Total Shots 0

50 Ball Possession 50

N/A Passes Accurate N/A

N/A Total Passes N/A

N/A Passes % N/A

0 Blocked Shots 0

N/A Goalkeeper Saves N/A

0 Fouls 0

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 2

N/A Corner Kicks N/A

0 Shots Insidebox 0

0 Shots Outsidebox 0

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Zaragoza — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.saves	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alberto Rodríguez	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	79	5	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aleksandar Radovanović	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	41	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Gómez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Tasende	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	97	3	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Pinilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	75	31	M	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Sebastian Serrano	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	62	2	D	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Cuenca	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	62	23	F	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Soberón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martín Aguirregabiria	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	58	20	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Sans	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	29	F	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sinan Bakış	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	75	12	F	-	False	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valery Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	58	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yussif Saidu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	23	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Burgos — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aitor Buñuel	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	15	D	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	59	14	M	-	True	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Ventosa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	38	32	M	-	True	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fermín García	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	61	31	F	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Morante	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	46	23	M	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Cordoba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	59	21	M	-	True	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Appin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	61	10	M	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcelo Expósito	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	91	33	M	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Cantero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	74	17	M	-	True	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	59	20	F	-	True	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Mejia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	61	7	M	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miguel Atienza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	29	5	M	-	True	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Víctor Mollejo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	82	11	F	-	False	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Zaragoza and Burgos

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos	0-1	4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza	0-1	2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Zaragoza

0.0%

Burgos

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.3%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Zaragoza 1.61

Burgos 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Zaragoza

Burgos

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)