Sporting Gijon vs Valencia - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Valencia

4' L. Beltran
48' D. Raba

16 Dec 2025

21:00

El Molinón

Score Summary

Sporting Gijon

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Valencia

4' L. Beltran
48' D. Raba

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Sporting Gijon 1510 1505 ▼ -5

48% Win

Valencia 1495 1506 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Sporting Gijon 0.00 -0.01 ▼ -0.01

34% Win

Valencia 0.01 0.17 ▲ 0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

César Tárrega

Valencia

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Dani Raba

Valencia

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Oscar Cortés

Sporting Gijon

6.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Justin Smith

Sporting Gijon

6.9

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Sporting Gijon 30% Valencia 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

6 Shots 11

3 On Target 7

Form Context

Sporting Gijon

W W L

Valencia

W W W W L

Smart Insight

Valencia carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Valencia produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Valencia after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.2%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

Sporting Gijon 0.0%

Valencia 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	0-2	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

35 Possession 65

3 Shots 7

6 Shots 11

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 2

3 Shots On Goal 7

6 Total Shots 11

35 Ball Possession 65

239 Passes Accurate 509

294 Total Passes 575

81% Passes % 89%

0 Blocked Shots 2

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

15 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

5 Shots Insidebox 8

1 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Sporting Gijon — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Diego	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	24	34	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amadou Coundoul	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	24	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Christian Sanchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	13	G	7.2	False	0	2	5	-	-	11	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Queipo	0	3	-	2	5	3	1	1	False	66	11	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	2	18	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Diego Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Curbelo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gaspar Campos	0	-	-	-	5	-	-	-	False	66	7	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ignacio Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iker Martinez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	24	26	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesús Bernal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordy Caicedo	0	1	1	-	11	4	2	2	False	90	9	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Juan Otero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Justin Smith	1	2	1	2	8	6	1	1	False	90	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Kevin Vázquez	1	1	1	1	9	4	3	-	True	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lucas Perrin	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	46	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	-
👤 Manuel Rodríguez	0	-	1	-	5	1	3	-	False	90	36	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Oscar Cortés	0	6	-	1	11	4	2	-	False	90	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	3	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Pablo García	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	66	3	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Vázquez	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	66	15	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Rubén Yáñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yann Kembo	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	24	22	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Álex Corredera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 André Almeida	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristian Rivero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 César Tárrega	1	1	-	1	10	8	2	2	True	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	72	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Dani Raba	0	3	-	1	8	4	2	1	False	79	19	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	40	2	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 David Otorbi	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	27	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego López	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	72	16	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	25	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dimitri Foulquier	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	90	20	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	49	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Filip Ugrinić	1	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	31	23	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Duro	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	18	9	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Javier Guerra	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	62	1	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	2	1	2	11	6	1	1	False	90	21	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	33	2	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Jose Gaya	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 José Copete	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	45	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	34	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julen Agirrezabala	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	7.6	False	0	3	-	-	22	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Largie Ramazani	0	3	2	1	10	5	1	3	False	90	17	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	30	-	36	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Beltrán	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	59	15	F	7	False	0	-	1	-	19	-	20	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Rioja	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	1	False	31	11	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mouctar Diakhaby	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	4	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	45	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pepelu	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	2	False	59	18	M	7.9	False	1	-	-	-	47	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Rubén Iranzo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thierry Correia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Sporting Gijon and Valencia

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	0-2	5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon	0-2	3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Sporting Gijon

0.0%

Valencia

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Sporting Gijon 1.62

Valencia 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Sporting Gijon

Valencia

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)