FC Cartagena vs Valencia - Football Platform

AET

Copa del Rey

Valencia

04 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Stadium

Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena

Score Summary

FC Cartagena

1 2

AET HT 1–0

Valencia

A. Ortuno 21'

79' L. Beltran
120' J. Vazquez

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

FC Cartagena 1505 1500 ▼ -5

48% Win

Valencia 1493 1504 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

FC Cartagena 0.00 -0.09 ▼ -0.09

31% Win

Valencia -0.16 0.17 ▲ 0.33

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jesús Vázquez

Valencia

7.9

7.9 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Alfredo Ortuño

FC Cartagena

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Ander Martín

FC Cartagena

7.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nacho Sánchez

FC Cartagena

6.9

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC Cartagena 38% Valencia 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

38 Possession 62

16 Shots 30

6 On Target 10

Form Context

FC Cartagena

W L

Valencia

W W W W L

Smart Insight

Valencia carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Valencia produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Valencia after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.3%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

FC Cartagena 0.0%

Valencia 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	1-2	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

38 Possession 62

6 Shots 10

16 Shots 30

4 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 13

6 Shots On Goal 10

16 Total Shots 30

38 Ball Possession 62

333 Passes Accurate 604

444 Total Passes 693

75% Passes % 87%

3 Blocked Shots 7

8 Goalkeeper Saves 5

15 Fouls 20

1 Red Cards 1

4 Yellow Cards 4

5 Corner Kicks 9

9 Shots Insidebox 20

7 Shots Outsidebox 10

3.11 expected_goals 4.12

N/A goals_prevented N/A

FC Cartagena — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Fidalgo	0	1	1	1	5	2	1	-	False	120	6	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	39	-	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Alfredo Ortuño	0	2	-	-	13	4	2	2	True	69	9	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	8	1	10	-	0	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Ander Martín	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	-	False	59	16	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	0	-	12	3	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Carlos Calderón	0	1	2	-	5	1	-	1	False	59	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	2	9	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Chiki	1	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	29	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	0	-	5	1	7	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Chuca	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	69	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	1	19	-	24	-	0	-	-	1	1	1	2	1
👤 Daniel Perejón	1	1	1	1	7	5	1	2	False	120	18	D	7	False	0	0	-	0	-	18	-	21	-	0	-	-	1	2	3	-	2
👤 Diego Gómez	0	1	-	-	7	3	3	1	False	61	20	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	0	-	14	2	21	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Edgar Alcaniz	0	1	1	1	9	6	2	2	False	91	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	30	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Imanol Baz	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	-	False	120	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	39	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	3	2
👤 Iván Martínez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	120	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	8	0	-	24	-	61	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kevin Sánchez	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	51	17	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	0	-	4	-	8	-	1	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Luismi Redondo	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	61	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	0	-	19	2	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nacho Martínez	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	40	22	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	0	-	22	1	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nacho Sánchez	0	-	-	-	7	6	1	-	False	120	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	28	2	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 Nil Jiménez	0	1	-	1	7	7	-	4	False	80	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	18	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Pablo De Blasis	0	-	3	-	7	3	1	1	False	51	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	0	-	25	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 André Almeida	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	False	18	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	0	-	4	-	5	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Arnaut Danjuma	0	0	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	64	7	M	6.3	False	0	-	0	-	20	4	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Baptiste Santamaria	1	2	1	-	-	8	5	3	3	False	112	22	M	6.3	False	0	-	0	-	82	3	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dani Raba	0	0	3	1	-	11	1	3	1	False	64	19	F	6.2	False	0	-	0	-	26	-	34	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	-
👤 Diego López	0	1	2	1	-	9	2	3	2	False	56	16	F	5.9	True	0	-	0	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Dimitri Foulquier	0	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	True	64	20	D	6.5	False	0	-	0	-	44	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Eray Cömert	0	1	-	2	-	13	8	3	1	False	120	24	D	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	72	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Filip Ugrinić	0	0	3	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	72	23	M	6.2	False	0	-	0	-	44	2	46	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Hugo Duro	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	74	9	F	6.2	True	0	-	0	1	18	3	20	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Javier Guerra	0	0	3	-	1	5	1	1	-	False	48	8	M	6.9	True	0	-	0	-	33	1	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	0	3	2	1	13	5	3	2	False	120	21	D	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	48	2	60	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Largie Ramazani	0	0	2	-	2	3	2	1	-	False	46	17	M	6.7	False	0	-	0	-	15	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Beltrán	0	0	1	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	102	15	F	7.5	False	0	-	1	-	20	3	24	-	-	-	1	5	-	-	-
👤 Luis Rioja	0	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	56	11	F	7.5	True	0	-	0	-	25	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Rubén Iranzo	0	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	120	26	D	7.2	False	0	-	0	-	72	-	76	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 Stole Dimitrievski	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	1	G	7	False	1	5	0	-	17	-	24	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thierry Correia	0	0	2	-	2	5	4	-	2	False	56	12	D	7.3	True	0	-	0	-	42	2	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: FC Cartagena and Valencia

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	1-2	5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena	1-2	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

FC Cartagena

0.0%

Valencia

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC Cartagena 1.62

Valencia 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC Cartagena

Valencia

Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)