Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

49' T. Martinez
89' C. Vicente

14 Jan 2026

21:00

Polideportivo Mendizorrotza

Score Summary

Alaves

2 0

FT HT 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

T. Martinez 49'
C. Vicente 89'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Alaves 1487 1497 ▲ 11

54% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1515 1504 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Alaves -0.10 -0.02 ▲ 0.09

34% Win

Rayo Vallecano -0.01 0.04 ▲ 0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Carlos Vicente

Alaves

7.9

7.9 rating · 26 min

Most Clinical

Toni Martínez

Alaves

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Gerard Gumbau

Rayo Vallecano

6.3

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Nobel Mendy

Rayo Vallecano

6.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Alaves 78% Rayo Vallecano 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

12 Shots 11

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Alaves

W W W W L

Rayo Vallecano

W W W L

Smart Insight

Alaves controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Alaves after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.8%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 29.3%

Expected Goals 1.81 - 1.42

Qualification %

Alaves 100.0%

Rayo Vallecano 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	2-0	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

51 Possession 49

7 Shots 2

12 Shots 11

1 Offsides 2

2 Shots Off Goal 8

7 Shots On Goal 2

12 Total Shots 11

51 Ball Possession 49

307 Passes Accurate 263

388 Total Passes 360

79% Passes % 73%

3 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

15 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 1

3 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 8

8 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Alaves — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abderrahman Rebbach	0	3	-	3	8	6	1	1	False	64	21	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Aitor Mañas	0	2	-	-	10	2	2	1	False	85	34	F	5.9	False	0	-	-	1	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ander Guevara	1	-	1	-	12	8	1	1	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Antonio Blanco	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	8	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Antonio Sivera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Calebe Gonçalves	1	5	-	3	9	6	1	1	False	64	20	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Carles Aleñá	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	False	26	10	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Ballestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Benavídez	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	True	90	23	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	26	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Carlos Vicente	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	26	7	F	7.9	True	0	-	1	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Denis Suárez	0	4	1	1	13	5	1	-	False	90	4	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	40	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Diego Morcillo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Grégoire Swiderski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Guridi	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	26	18	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jon Pacheco	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jonny Otto	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	1	17	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nahuel Tenaglia	0	1	-	1	10	7	2	1	False	90	14	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	30	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Pablo Ibáñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.7	False	0	2	-	-	19	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toni Martínez	0	2	-	1	13	5	-	1	False	64	11	F	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Victor Parada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim	0	2	1	1	7	2	2	1	False	89	3	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	26	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Molina	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alemão	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	15	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	2	5	-	-	20	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	1	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	53	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	2
👤 Fran Pérez	0	1	1	1	1	3	1	3	-	False	83	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	15	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	35	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Isi Palazón	1	0	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	8	7	M	4.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	40	20	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	28	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	0	-	1	-	7	2	1	-	False	50	3	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco de las Sias	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	0	-	1	-	10	8	1	1	False	90	32	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	3
👤 Pacha	0	0	1	2	-	10	4	-	3	False	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Randy Nteka	0	0	-	1	-	11	5	1	1	False	62	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sergio Camello	0	0	3	-	-	7	4	-	4	False	40	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro García	0	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	50	18	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	2	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	0	2	1	-	15	5	2	1	False	61	8	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	0	1	2	1	10	6	1	-	True	90	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Alaves and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	2-0	5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano	2-0	4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Alaves

100.0%

Rayo Vallecano

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.8%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

29.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Alaves 1.81

Rayo Vallecano 1.42

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)