Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad

62' B. Turrientes

11 Feb 2026

21:00

San Mamés

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 0 - 2

Score Summary

Athletic Club

0 1

FT HT 0–0

Real Sociedad

62' B. Turrientes

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

41% Win

Athletic Club 1494 1486 ▼ -8

59% Win

Real Sociedad 1555 1563 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Athletic Club 0.24 0.06 ▼ -0.17

36% Win

Real Sociedad 0.11 0.08 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jon Martin

Real Sociedad

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Beñat Turrientes

Real Sociedad

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Carlos Soler

Real Sociedad

7.5

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Alejandro Rego

Athletic Club

7.2

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Athletic Club 33% Real Sociedad 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

13 Shots 12

3 On Target 6

Form Context

Athletic Club

W W W L L

Real Sociedad

D W W W D

Smart Insight

Real Sociedad carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Real Sociedad after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 34.5%

Expected Goals 1.68 - 1.55

Qualification %

Athletic Club 0.0%

Real Sociedad 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	0-1	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

47 Possession 53

3 Shots 6

13 Shots 12

2 Offsides 4

4 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 6

13 Total Shots 12

47 Ball Possession 53

375 Passes Accurate 429

452 Total Passes 523

83% Passes % 82%

6 Blocked Shots 2

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

12 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 4

6 Shots Insidebox 8

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.13 expected_goals 2.27

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	-	1	-	8	6	-	3	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Aimar Dunabeitia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	0	-	-	-	13	8	2	1	False	56	30	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	27	G	7.7	False	0	1	5	-	-	20	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aymeric Laporte	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	66	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Eder Garcia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	-	-	-	10	3	1	2	False	90	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Iker Monreal Agundez	0	1	2	-	8	4	-	-	False	90	47	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Iñaki Williams	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	True	56	9	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	1	-	-	-	6	2	2	1	False	34	16	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Jesús Areso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	2	False	82	18	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Mikel Vesga	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	8	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nico Serrano	0	2	2	2	5	3	-	1	False	34	22	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	0	1	1	1	4	3	-	-	False	34	10	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	2	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Robert Navarro	0	1	1	1	7	4	1	1	False	56	23	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	1	-	1	4	3	1	1	False	34	44	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Unai Gómez	0	-	-	-	9	1	1	-	False	56	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	3	1	2	9	3	2	-	False	90	15	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1

Real Sociedad — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aihen Muñoz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Fraga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aritz Elustondo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	6	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Beñat Turrientes	0	4	-	-	10	5	-	2	False	74	8	M	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Brais Méndez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Soler	0	-	1	-	8	5	2	-	False	85	18	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	34	5	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Dani Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Duje Caleta-Car	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	53	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Goncalo Guedes	1	1	2	-	14	6	1	4	False	89	11	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	22	3	29	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Igor Zubeldia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Job Ochieng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	47	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Aramburu	0	1	2	1	7	2	1	-	False	74	2	D	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	23	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Gorrotxategi	0	4	-	2	11	7	1	1	False	90	4	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	62	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Jon Martin	0	-	-	-	13	11	2	2	False	90	31	D	8.7	False	0	-	-	-	51	-	62	-	-	-	2	2	3	2	1
👤 Mikel Oyarzabal	1	6	-	3	17	5	3	2	True	90	10	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	1	33	1	42	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Orri Steinn Óskarsson	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	16	9	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	2	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Marín	0	3	-	3	7	4	4	1	False	85	15	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Sergio Gómez	0	-	2	-	4	-	2	-	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	47	3	61	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Wesley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yangel Herrera	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	5	12	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Remiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	3	-	-	30	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Odriozola	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	5	20	D	6.5	True	0	-	-	1	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Real Sociedad

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	0-1	8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club	0-1	5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Athletic Club

0.0%

Real Sociedad

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Athletic Club 0-1 Real Sociedad

Current aggregate: 0-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

34.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.68

Real Sociedad 1.55

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Athletic Club

Real Sociedad

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)