Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

05 Feb 2026

21:00

Estadio de la Cartuja

Score Summary

Real Betis

0 5

FT HT 0–3

Atletico Madrid

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Real Betis 1577 1567 ▼ -10

51% Win

Atletico Madrid 1581 1591 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Real Betis 0.03 0.21 ▲ 0.17

35% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.26 0.17 ▼ -0.09

Top Performers

Top Rated

Dávid Hancko

Atletico Madrid

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Dávid Hancko

Atletico Madrid

8.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Pablo Barrios

Atletico Madrid

7.2

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcos Llorente

Atletico Madrid

7.0

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Betis 25% Atletico Madrid 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

8 Shots 12

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Real Betis

W W W W L

Atletico Madrid

W W W L D

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Atletico Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.0%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 30.9%

Expected Goals 1.77 - 1.46

Qualification %

Real Betis 0.0%

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	0-5	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	0-5	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

42 Possession 58

2 Shots 6

8 Shots 12

0 Offsides 3

5 Shots Off Goal 3

2 Shots On Goal 6

8 Total Shots 12

42 Ball Possession 58

422 Passes Accurate 610

482 Total Passes 688

88% Passes % 89%

1 Blocked Shots 3

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 5

3 Shots Insidebox 11

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.33 expected_goals 2.39

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Real Betis — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli	0	3	2	2	13	6	-	1	False	90	10	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	29	1	38	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Adrián	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	5.7	False	5	1	-	19	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Ruibal	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	4	False	90	24	D	5.9	False	0	-	-	33	1	36	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Angel Ortiz	0	1	2	-	5	2	-	1	False	44	40	D	6.2	True	0	-	-	23	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Antony	0	3	2	2	8	4	-	1	False	73	7	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	27	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Chimy Ávila	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	46	9	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Diego Llorente	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	5.6	False	0	-	-	48	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Marc Bartra	0	1	2	-	8	4	-	-	True	46	5	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	28	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Marc Roca	0	1	1	1	7	3	1	-	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	57	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Natan	1	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	44	4	D	6	True	0	-	-	18	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Nelson Deossa	0	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	False	46	18	M	6	False	0	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Fornals	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	74	8	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	33	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Rodrigo Riquelme	0	2	-	2	3	2	1	-	False	17	17	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Sergi Altimira	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	16	6	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Valentín Gómez	0	-	1	-	10	7	2	1	False	90	16	D	5.7	False	0	-	-	40	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Álvaro Fidalgo	0	3	1	2	6	4	-	1	False	44	15	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	5	-	3	15	7	2	2	False	79	22	F	7.9	False	1	-	1	-	38	1	44	-	-	-	1	3	1	-	1
👤 Alex Baena	1	1	-	8	3	3	1	False	67	10	M	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	41	2	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Antoine Griezmann	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	7	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	1	54	-	60	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	3
👤 Dávid Hancko	2	-	2	6	5	-	-	False	90	17	D	8.9	False	0	-	1	-	57	2	64	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Giuliano Simeone	3	-	3	7	4	-	1	False	66	20	M	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 José María Giménez	1	1	1	4	3	-	-	False	40	2	D	7	True	0	-	0	-	36	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Juan Musso	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	0	-	23	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Koke	2	1	2	4	2	-	-	True	90	6	M	7.7	False	1	-	0	-	113	1	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marc Pubill	-	1	-	7	3	1	1	False	90	18	D	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	42	-	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	1	-	6	2	2	-	False	67	14	D	7	False	0	-	0	1	41	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	2	2	1	7	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	1	-	0	1	49	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Nahuel Molina	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	24	16	D	6.5	True	0	-	0	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Obed Vargas	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	11	21	M	6.3	True	0	-	0	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Barrios	3	2	1	10	4	1	-	False	50	8	M	7.2	False	1	-	0	-	40	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	1	-	1	3	3	-	2	False	23	4	M	6.9	True	0	-	0	-	19	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Thiago Almada	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	23	11	M	7.5	True	0	-	1	-	21	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Real Betis and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	0-5	6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	0-5	5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Real Betis

0.0%

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.0%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

30.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Betis 1.77

Atletico Madrid 1.46

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Betis

Atletico Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)