Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Barcelona

Coach : H. Flick

12 Feb 2026

21:00

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 3

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

4 0

FT HT 4–0

Barcelona

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Atletico Madrid 1580 1592 ▲ 12

61% Win

Barcelona 1661 1649 ▼ -12

xPi Expected win probability

31% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.34 0.17 ▼ -0.17

55% Win

Barcelona 1.11 1.07 ▼ -0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nahuel Molina

Atletico Madrid

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ademola Lookman

Atletico Madrid

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Nahuel Molina

Atletico Madrid

8.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Dávid Hancko

Atletico Madrid

7.5

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 67% Barcelona 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

34 Possession 66

12 Shots 14

8 On Target 4

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

W W W L D

Barcelona

W W W L W

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 25.7%

Draw 24.3%

Away Win 49.9%

Expected Goals 1.33 - 1.90

Qualification %

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Barcelona 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	4-0	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	4-0	12	W W W L W

34 Possession 66

8 Shots 4

12 Shots 14

3 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 6

8 Shots On Goal 4

12 Total Shots 14

34 Ball Possession 66

272 Passes Accurate 578

331 Total Passes 648

82% Passes % 89%

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

16 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 1

5 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 8

10 Shots Insidebox 9

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	2	-	1	8	4	1	2	False	73	22	M	8	False	1	-	1	1	10	1	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Alex Baena	1	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	False	22	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	1	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	1	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	22	9	F	5.9	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	68	7	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	12	2	16	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	17	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	2	4	2
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	-	2	-	7	3	2	2	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	1	19	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 José María Giménez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	4	-	-	20	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	1	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	68	19	F	7.6	False	1	-	1	-	8	1	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Koke	0	1	1	1	8	5	2	2	True	89	6	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	28	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marc Pubill	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	18	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	-	4	-	11	4	3	-	False	90	14	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	29	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	1	-	2	-	9	3	4	-	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	90	16	D	8.9	False	1	-	-	-	36	3	39	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	11	24	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	3	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	17	11	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	14	2	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Balde	0	0	2	1	2	5	4	-	2	False	77	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dani Olmo	0	1	3	-	1	7	3	1	-	False	90	20	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	2	49	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Diego Kochen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric García	1	0	-	-	-	3	2	2	-	False	85	24	D	4.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	87	1	90	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Fermín López	0	1	4	1	2	11	6	2	4	False	87	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	32	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Ferran Torres	0	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Frenkie de Jong	0	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	2	True	90	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	88	-	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gerard Martín	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	18	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joan García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	5.9	False	0	4	3	-	-	24	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jofre Torrents	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	2	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Juan Hernández	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jules Koundé	0	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	23	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	3	78	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Lamine Yamal	0	0	12	-	6	21	13	1	5	False	90	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	3	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marc Bernal	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Casadó	0	1	2	-	1	5	2	2	1	False	37	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Cubarsí	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	77	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	70	1	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robert Lewandowski	0	0	2	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	53	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	13	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Barcelona

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	4-0	6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	4-0	5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Barcelona

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Barcelona

Current aggregate: 3-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

25.7%

Home Win

24.3%

Draw

49.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.33

Barcelona 1.90

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Barcelona

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)