Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

03 Mar 2026

21:00

Camp Nou

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 4

Stadium

Camp Nou

Barcelona, Spain

Capacity: 55926 Surface: grass Address: Les Corts, 08028

Score Summary

Barcelona

3 0

FT HT 2–0

Atletico Madrid

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

57% Win

Barcelona 1646 1655 ▲ 9

43% Win

Atletico Madrid 1599 1590 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

62% Win

Barcelona 1.10 1.07 ▼ -0.03

27% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.33 0.17 ▼ -0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

9.2

9.2 rating · 97 min

Most Clinical

Marc Bernal

Barcelona

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

9.2

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Johnny Cardoso

Atletico Madrid

6.3

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Barcelona 82% Atletico Madrid 18%

Key Stats Snapshot

71 Possession 29

21 Shots 7

9 On Target 2

Form Context

Barcelona

W W W L W

Atletico Madrid

W W W L D

Smart Insight

Barcelona controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Barcelona generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Barcelona after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 55.6%

Draw 23.2%

Away Win 21.1%

Expected Goals 2.03 - 1.20

Qualification %

Barcelona 0.0%

Atletico Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	3-0	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	3-0	12	W W W L W

71 Possession 29

9 Shots 2

21 Shots 7

2 Offsides 3

10 Shots Off Goal 3

9 Shots On Goal 2

21 Total Shots 7

71 Ball Possession 29

614 Passes Accurate 210

686 Total Passes 284

90% Passes % 74%

2 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

9 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

15 Corner Kicks 0

12 Shots Insidebox 3

9 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Barcelona — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Balde	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	58	3	D	7.2	True	-	-	-	-	41	1	42	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Dani Olmo	1	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	33	20	M	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Diego Kochen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fermín López	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	64	16	M	7	False	-	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Ferran Torres	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	64	7	F	6.2	False	-	-	-	-	2	1	7	-	-	0	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Martín	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	97	18	D	7.6	False	-	-	-	-	95	-	100	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Joan García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	97	13	G	7.9	False	-	2	-	-	29	-	30	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Cancelo	1	2	1	2	10	7	2	1	False	97	2	D	8.5	False	1	-	-	-	77	2	83	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	4
👤 Jules Koundé	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	13	23	D	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamine Yamal	1	19	2	14	24	14	1	-	False	97	10	M	9.2	False	1	-	-	-	47	4	58	-	-	0	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Marc Bernal	0	-	1	-	8	5	2	2	False	97	22	M	8.9	False	-	-	2	-	42	-	49	-	-	0	-	4	5	-	-	1
👤 Marc Casadó	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Rashford	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	33	14	F	6.9	True	-	-	-	1	14	1	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Cubarsí	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	-	False	97	5	D	8	False	-	-	-	-	108	-	114	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Pedri	0	5	5	2	22	12	-	4	False	97	8	M	8.9	False	-	-	-	-	83	2	91	-	-	0	1	-	1	-	-	6
👤 Raphinha	0	5	1	3	11	7	-	-	True	97	11	M	7.3	False	-	-	1	1	32	2	45	-	-	1	-	1	4	-	-	1
👤 Ronald Araújo	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	26	4	D	6.6	True	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roony Bardghji	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomás Marqués	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wojciech Szczęsny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	2	2	1	8	3	-	2	False	58	22	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Alex Baena	1	1	2	1	9	4	2	2	False	28	10	M	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	1	-	-	7	1	1	-	False	39	9	F	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	2	4	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	1	3	1	9	5	-	1	False	97	7	F	7.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	3	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	3	-	6	3	-	-	False	97	17	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	30	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	2	1	-	7	1	-	-	False	76	20	M	5.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	1	2	-	13	3	3	-	False	97	5	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 José María Giménez	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	21	2	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	97	1	G	8.7	False	-	3	6	-	-	13	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	9	1	4	13	6	-	1	False	69	19	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	1	18	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Koke	0	2	2	2	8	3	-	-	True	58	6	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	97	18	D	5.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	23	1	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	-	-	6	5	-	2	False	97	14	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	4	8	2	17	6	-	-	False	97	3	D	5.6	False	-	0	-	-	1	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	39	16	D	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Barcelona and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	3-0	6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	3-0	5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Barcelona

0.0%

Atletico Madrid

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Barcelona

Current aggregate: 3-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

55.6%

Home Win

23.2%

Draw

21.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Barcelona 2.03

Atletico Madrid 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Camp Nou

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)