Granada CF vs Rayo Vallecano - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

9' P. Saenz
49' A. Garcia
74' P. Diaz
90' Juanjo

06 Jan 2026

19:00

Score Summary

Granada CF

1 3

FT HT 1–0

Rayo Vallecano

P. Saenz 9'

49' A. Garcia
74' P. Diaz
90' Juanjo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Granada CF 1510 1505 ▼ -5

48% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1495 1506 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Granada CF 0.00 0.03 ▲ 0.03

33% Win

Rayo Vallecano -0.02 0.04 ▲ 0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Dani Cárdenas

Rayo Vallecano

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Pablo Sáenz

Granada CF

7.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Gerard Gumbau

Rayo Vallecano

6.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Andrei Rațiu

Rayo Vallecano

7.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Granada CF 60% Rayo Vallecano 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

40 Possession 60

9 Shots 18

6 On Target 4

Form Context

Granada CF

W W L

Rayo Vallecano

W W W L

Smart Insight

Granada CF controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Rayo Vallecano produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Rayo Vallecano after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.9%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 33.8%

Expected Goals 1.70 - 1.53

Qualification %

Granada CF 0.0%

Rayo Vallecano 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

40 Possession 60

6 Shots 4

9 Shots 18

0 Offsides 3

1 Shots Off Goal 8

6 Shots On Goal 4

9 Total Shots 18

40 Ball Possession 60

245 Passes Accurate 404

319 Total Passes 477

77% Passes % 85%

2 Blocked Shots 6

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

19 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 3

3 Corner Kicks 11

7 Shots Insidebox 12

2 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.11 expected_goals 1.06

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Granada CF — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ander Astralaga	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	13	G	5.3	False	3	2	0	-	25	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Diego Hormigo	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	-	0	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Jorge Pascual	1	-	1	4	2	2	-	False	31	19	F	6.5	True	0	-	0	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 José Manuel Arnáiz	2	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	11	11	F	6.3	True	0	-	0	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Juan José Flores Castro	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	36	D	5.7	False	0	-	0	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Loïc Williams	-	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	59	24	D	6.5	False	0	-	0	-	27	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Luka Gagnidze	-	2	-	7	3	1	1	False	66	23	M	6.5	False	0	-	0	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Manu Trigueros	1	1	-	13	6	3	3	True	90	14	M	7	False	0	-	0	-	33	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Manuel Lama	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	31	5	D	6	True	0	-	0	-	21	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Bouldini	-	-	-	10	4	3	1	False	59	10	F	6.7	False	0	-	0	-	6	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Oscar Naasei	4	-	4	6	6	-	1	False	79	28	D	6.6	False	0	-	0	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Pablo Sáenz	2	-	2	8	3	3	-	False	90	21	M	7	False	0	-	1	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Pedro Alemañ	1	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	11	8	M	6.3	True	0	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rubén Alcaraz	-	2	-	7	2	3	-	False	90	4	M	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	29	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	3	4	1
👤 Sergio Rodelas	6	3	1	16	6	1	1	False	79	26	M	6.9	False	0	-	0	-	9	1	14	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	3
👤 Sergio Ruiz Alonso	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	24	20	M	6.5	True	0	-	0	-	16	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrei Rațiu	1	7	-	4	15	9	1	-	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	27	-	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	4
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	3	-	7	3	1	2	False	64	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	10	2	17	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.5	False	0	1	6	0	-	24	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	4	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	0	-	60	-	72	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Fran Pérez	0	4	-	2	9	3	1	1	False	64	21	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	0	-	14	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	1	1	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	64	15	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	43	4	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isi Palazón	0	1	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	26	7	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	0	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	26	19	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	0	1	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	6	3	D	-	True	0	0	-	0	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	42	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Pacha	1	1	2	-	11	4	2	3	False	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	0	-	39	1	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	3	1	2	8	4	1	1	False	90	4	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	1	52	1	58	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Sergio Camello	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	6	10	F	-	True	0	0	-	0	-	5	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Álvaro García	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	84	18	F	7.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	17	1	22	-	-	-	3	5	-	2	-
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	1	1	1	16	7	2	3	False	84	8	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	0	-	31	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	2	False	26	23	M	7	True	0	0	-	0	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Granada CF and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano	1-3	4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF	1-3	3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Granada CF

0.0%

Rayo Vallecano

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.9%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

33.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Granada CF 1.70

Rayo Vallecano 1.53

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Granada CF

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)