Eibar vs Elche - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Elche

27' A. Boayar

16 Dec 2025

19:00

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Stadium

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar

Score Summary

Eibar

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Elche

27' A. Boayar

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Eibar 1510 1505 ▼ -5

49% Win

Elche 1502 1512 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

Eibar 0.00 -0.02 ▼ -0.02

30% Win

Elche -0.25 -0.48 ▼ -0.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matías Dituro

Elche

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Adam Boayar

Elche

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Marco Moreno

Eibar

7.5

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Adrià Pedrosa

Elche

6.5

8 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Eibar 67% Elche 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

9 Shots 6

2 On Target 1

Form Context

Eibar

W W L

Elche

W W W L

Smart Insight

Eibar controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Eibar generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Elche after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.2%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.4%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.62

Qualification %

Eibar 0.0%

Elche 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

50 Possession 50

2 Shots 1

9 Shots 6

2 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 1

9 Total Shots 6

50 Ball Possession 50

331 Passes Accurate 340

408 Total Passes 425

81% Passes % 80%

0 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

18 Fouls 22

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 4

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.19 expected_goals 0.88

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Eibar — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix Garrido	0	2	2	-	15	6	1	3	False	90	30	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	45	2	53	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ander Madariaga	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	22	16	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	11	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Aritz Arambarri	0	-	1	-	7	2	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	-	1	43	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Hodei Arrillaga	0	2	2	-	8	1	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	-	-	24	1	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Hugo García	0	2	-	2	2	2	-	-	False	9	27	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	4	-	6	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Martón	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	14	20	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	3	1	3	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Bautista	0	2	1	-	22	10	-	1	True	90	9	F	6.5	False	0	-	1	14	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	-	2
👤 Jon Magunazelaia	0	2	1	-	17	7	3	4	False	76	11	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	14	1	18	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 José Corpas	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	22	17	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	15	-	18	-	1	-	1	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Lander Olaetxea	0	1	-	-	9	6	1	3	False	68	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	25	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Luis López	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	1	-	-	26	-	36	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malcom Ares	0	7	1	2	12	4	2	1	False	81	18	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	16	-	19	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marco Moreno	0	-	-	-	18	10	4	2	False	90	21	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	29	2	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Sergio Álvarez	0	-	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	22	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	23	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Toni Villa	0	-	-	-	12	8	1	4	False	68	19	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	15	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Álvaro Rodríguez	1	1	-	-	11	4	1	1	False	68	22	D	6.2	False	0	-	-	24	1	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

Elche — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Boayar	0	2	-	1	10	6	1	3	False	73	32	M	8	False	-	1	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Adrià Pedrosa	0	2	-	-	16	9	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	12	-	20	1	-	-	-	2	-	2	8
👤 Ali Houary	1	-	-	-	6	3	2	1	False	63	35	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Bambo Diaby	0	1	-	1	10	9	1	3	False	82	4	D	7.7	False	-	0	-	47	1	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 David Affengruber	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	8	22	D	6.6	True	-	0	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Redondo	0	2	2	-	15	4	3	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	61	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Hector Fort	0	1	2	1	4	1	-	-	False	27	39	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 John Donald	1	2	-	1	14	6	5	2	False	90	18	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	28	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Josan	0	2	-	1	10	8	-	3	True	64	17	F	7	False	-	0	1	16	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Léo Pétrot	0	2	-	2	14	10	1	-	False	90	21	D	7.3	False	-	0	-	52	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Marc Aguado	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	18	8	M	6.6	True	-	0	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martim Neto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	16	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matías Dituro	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	2	0	-	32	-	47	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	-	-	7	3	2	1	False	72	30	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	20	-	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Yago Santiago	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	17	7	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Álvaro Rodriguez	0	4	-	1	36	20	3	5	False	90	20	F	7.2	False	-	0	1	10	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Eibar and Elche

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche	0-1	4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar	0-1	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Eibar

0.0%

Elche

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.2%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Eibar 1.61

Elche 1.62

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Eibar

Elche

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)