Alaves vs Sevilla - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Sevilla

79' C. Vicente

17 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Stadium

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Score Summary

Alaves

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Sevilla

C. Vicente 79'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Alaves 1497 1507 ▲ 10

51% Win

Sevilla 1505 1494 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Alaves 0.04 -0.02 ▼ -0.06

31% Win

Sevilla -0.25 -0.37 ▼ -0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Carlos Vicente

Alaves

7.5

7.5 rating · 96 min

Most Clinical

Carlos Vicente

Alaves

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Carles Aleñá

Alaves

7.0

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Oso

Sevilla

7.0

5 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Alaves 70% Sevilla 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

14 Shots 9

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Alaves

W W W W L

Sevilla

W W L

Smart Insight

Alaves controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Alaves generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Alaves after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.1%

Draw 24.5%

Away Win 26.4%

Expected Goals 1.88 - 1.34

Qualification %

Alaves 100.0%

Sevilla 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	1-0	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		12	W W W L W

52 Possession 48

7 Shots 3

14 Shots 9

1 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 4

7 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 9

52 Ball Possession 48

313 Passes Accurate 265

369 Total Passes 338

85% Passes % 78%

4 Blocked Shots 2

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

15 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

11 Corner Kicks 9

7 Shots Insidebox 5

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Alaves — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abderrahman Rebbach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Mañas	0	2	-	1	8	4	1	2	False	66	34	F	6.3	False	-	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ander Guevara	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	6	M	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Antonio Blanco	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	True	96	8	M	6.9	False	-	-	-	-	38	1	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Antonio Sivera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Calebe Gonçalves	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carles Aleñá	0	-	-	-	7	4	3	3	False	96	10	M	7	False	-	-	-	-	32	4	35	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Carlos Ballestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Benavídez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	73	23	M	7	True	-	-	-	-	24	-	27	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Carlos Vicente	0	2	-	-	11	6	-	4	False	96	7	M	7.5	False	-	-	1	-	16	1	21	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	3	2
👤 Denis Suárez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Guridi	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	10	18	M	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Pacheco	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	96	5	D	6.9	False	-	-	-	-	49	-	53	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Jonny Otto	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	23	17	D	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	18	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Boyé	0	1	-	1	5	2	-	1	False	20	15	F	7.3	True	-	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Tenaglia	0	1	3	1	11	5	1	-	False	96	14	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	37	-	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Pablo Ibáñez	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	65	19	M	6.3	False	-	-	-	-	16	1	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	13	G	7.2	False	-	3	-	-	19	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toni Martínez	0	2	-	2	16	8	2	4	False	96	11	F	7.2	False	-	-	-	1	17	2	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Victor Parada	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	24	D	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xanet Olaiz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim	1	1	-	1	6	3	3	-	False	86	3	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	-	0	-	2	2	1	1	1

Sevilla — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adnan Januzaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alberto Flores	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Costa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexis Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	False	16	10	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Alfon González	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	16	17	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Andres Castrin	1	-	1	-	9	4	4	1	False	96	32	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	39	-	46	1	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Batista Mendy	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	28	19	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Djibril Sow	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	2	False	68	20	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Fábio Cardoso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Suazo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaac Romero	0	-	2	-	8	4	-	2	False	96	7	F	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	-
👤 Joan Jordán	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	80	8	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 José Ángel Carmona	1	-	1	-	12	5	4	1	False	96	2	D	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	-	42	-	-	-	1	1	1	3	3
👤 Juanlu Sánchez	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	83	16	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Lucien Agoumé	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	28	18	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manu Bueno	0	1	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	68	28	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Miguel Sierra	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	13	29	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nemanja Gudelj	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	True	96	6	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Odysseas Vlachodimos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	1	G	7.3	False	-	1	5	-	-	19	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oso	0	2	-	1	18	12	2	3	False	96	36	D	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	2	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	5
👤 Peque Fernández	0	1	-	1	9	5	2	1	False	80	14	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	2	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ramón Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Alaves and Sevilla

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	1-0	5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla	1-0	3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Alaves

100.0%

Sevilla

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.1%

Home Win

24.5%

Draw

26.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Alaves 1.88

Sevilla 1.34

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Alaves

Sevilla

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)