Deportivo La Coruna vs Mallorca

Copa del Rey

Mallorca

85' N. Carillo

16 Dec 2025

19:00

Estadio Riazor

Score Summary

Deportivo La Coruna

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Mallorca

N. Carillo 85'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Deportivo La Coruna 1510 1515 ▲ 5

50% Win

Mallorca 1509 1499 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Deportivo La Coruna 0.00 -0.03 ▼ -0.03

31% Win

Mallorca -0.29 -0.30 ▼ -0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Eric Puerto

Deportivo La Coruna

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Noé Carrillo

Deportivo La Coruna

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Giacomo Quagliata

Deportivo La Coruna

7.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lucas Noubi

Deportivo La Coruna

7.5

3 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Deportivo La Coruna 50% Mallorca 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

10 Shots 16

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Deportivo La Coruna

W W W L

Mallorca

W W L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Mallorca produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Deportivo La Coruna after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.6%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.0%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

Deportivo La Coruna 100.0%

Mallorca 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

43 Possession 57

3 Shots 3

10 Shots 16

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 9

3 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 16

43 Ball Possession 57

354 Passes Accurate 485

421 Total Passes 560

84% Passes % 87%

1 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

8 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

2 Corner Kicks 4

6 Shots Insidebox 10

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

1.73 expected_goals 1.17

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Deportivo La Coruna — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnau Comas	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	-	0	-	46	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Bil Nsongo	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	21	32	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Cristian Herrera	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	69	17	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Dani Barcia	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	-	0	-	52	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	3	3	2
👤 David Mella	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	61	11	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Diego Villares	0	-	2	-	9	6	-	1	True	80	8	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	4
👤 Eric Puerto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	8.2	False	3	0	-	24	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giacomo Quagliata	0	3	1	1	8	3	2	-	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	31	3	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 José Gragera	0	-	3	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	16	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	51	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lucas Noubi	0	2	-	-	7	5	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	-	0	-	28	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	3
👤 Luismi Cruz	0	2	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	29	19	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mario Soriano	0	1	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	28	21	M	6.9	True	-	0	-	19	2	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Noé Carrillo	0	1	1	1	5	2	-	-	False	10	37	M	7.3	True	-	1	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Rubén López	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	62	35	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Samuele Mulattieri	0	2	-	1	11	5	1	1	False	69	7	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Stoichkov	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	21	22	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Mallorca — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.conceded	goals.saves	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdón Prats	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	True	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Sánchez	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	33	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 David López	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	61	27	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	48	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Iliesse Salhi	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	8	26	D	6.2	True	0	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jan Virgili	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	8	17	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Llabrés	6	-	5	12	7	-	-	False	82	19	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	35	2	40	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Lucas Bergström	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	1	2	-	25	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marash Kumbulla	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	76	-	86	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Martin Valjent	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	29	24	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mateu Morey	1	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	82	2	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	31	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Pablo Maffeo	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	19	23	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	10	1	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Torre	-	-	-	8	3	1	2	False	71	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	50	3	53	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Samú Costa	-	1	-	15	11	1	3	False	90	12	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	61	1	68	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	5
👤 Sergi Darder	1	2	1	3	1	-	-	False	19	10	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Takuma Asano	2	-	1	8	3	-	1	False	90	11	M	6.5	False	0	-	1	18	1	19	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Toni Lato	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	71	3	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Deportivo La Coruna and Mallorca

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna	1-0	4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca	1-0	3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Deportivo La Coruna

100.0%

Mallorca

0.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.6%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Deportivo La Coruna 1.62

Mallorca 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Deportivo La Coruna

Mallorca

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)