Albacete vs Celta Vigo - Football Platform

PEN

Copa del Rey

Celta Vigo

Coach : Claudio Giráldez

17 Dec 2025

19:00

Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Stadium

Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Albacete

Score Summary

Albacete

2 2

PEN HT 1–0

Celta Vigo

J. Betancor 18'
J. Vallejo 90'

64' Y. Lago
75' B. Iglesias

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Albacete 1510 1510 ▲ 0

52% Win

Celta Vigo 1526 1526 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Albacete 0.00 0.02 ▲ 0.02

37% Win

Celta Vigo -0.07 0.23 ▲ 0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Yoel Lago

Celta Vigo

8.3

8.3 rating · 81 min

Most Clinical

Jefté Betancor

Albacete

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Alejandro Meléndez

Albacete

6.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lorenzo Aguado

Albacete

6.7

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Albacete 44% Celta Vigo 56%

Key Stats Snapshot

36 Possession 64

12 Shots 18

4 On Target 5

Form Context

Albacete

W W D W L

Celta Vigo

W D D

Smart Insight

Celta Vigo carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Celta Vigo produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.2%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.61

Qualification %

Albacete 57.1%

Celta Vigo 42.9%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

36 Possession 64

4 Shots 5

12 Shots 18

5 Offsides 5

7 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 5

12 Total Shots 18

36 Ball Possession 64

322 Passes Accurate 706

421 Total Passes 782

76% Passes % 90%

1 Blocked Shots 7

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

13 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 8

6 Shots Insidebox 12

6 Shots Outsidebox 6

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Albacete — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Agus Medina	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	39	4	M	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	1	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Alejandro Meléndez	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	2	False	120	17	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	3	55	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	1
👤 Antonio Pacheco	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Puertas	1	2	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	62	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	2	10	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Capi	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	2	False	58	26	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Carlos Neva	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	2	False	81	21	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Dani Escriche	1	-	2	-	10	2	2	1	False	120	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Daniel Bernabeu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Mariño	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Gámez	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	25	15	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Villar	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	72	18	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Javier Moreno	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	120	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Jefté Betancor	0	-	1	-	8	3	1	2	False	58	10	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	7	-	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Jesús Vallejo	0	-	-	-	8	5	2	-	False	62	24	D	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	1	21	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Jon García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Morcillo	0	2	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	48	22	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Gómez	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	-	False	120	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	5
👤 José Carlos Lazo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Aguado	0	1	1	-	10	6	1	3	False	95	2	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	31	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	2
👤 Raúl Lizoain	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	120	13	G	7.2	False	0	2	3	-	-	19	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riki Rodríguez	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	48	8	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Victor Valverde	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	72	11	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Borja Iglesias	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	45	7	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	2	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Carl Starfelt	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	39	2	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Damián Rodríguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	30	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Franco Cervi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Sotelo	0	1	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	45	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Álvarez	0	4	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	120	23	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	3	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Iago Aspas	0	-	1	-	11	3	4	2	True	120	10	M	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	65	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ilaix Moriba	0	1	1	-	14	8	2	4	False	120	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	53	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Iván Villar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	3	-	-	24	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	0	1	1	-	7	4	-	2	False	120	32	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	1	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Javier Rueda	1	2	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	45	17	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	3	-	2	6	3	-	-	False	72	39	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	14	1	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Manu Fernández	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	75	12	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	59	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Marc Vidal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miguel Román	0	-	1	-	4	1	2	-	False	75	16	M	7.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	69	1	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mihailo Ristic	0	2	-	2	4	4	-	-	False	45	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	55	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Oscar Marcos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	48	19	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	6	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yoel Lago	1	-	-	-	12	6	5	1	False	81	29	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	62	1	63	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	1	1	1	5	4	-	1	False	120	3	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	95	1	107	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Albacete and Celta Vigo

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete	2-2	5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo	2-2	3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Albacete

57.1%

Celta Vigo

42.9%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.4%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Albacete 1.62

Celta Vigo 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Albacete

Celta Vigo

Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)