CF Talavera vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

17 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio El Prado

Stadium

Estadio El Prado

Talavera de la Reina

Score Summary

CF Talavera

2 3

FT HT 0–2

Real Madrid

N. Arroyo 80'
G. Di Renzo 90'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

CF Talavera 1510 1506 ▼ -4

58% Win

Real Madrid 1563 1571 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

31% Win

CF Talavera 0.00 0.00 ▲ 0.00

54% Win

Real Madrid 0.80 0.83 ▲ 0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Arda Güler

Real Madrid

8.5

8.5 rating · 77 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

8.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Isaiah Navarro

CF Talavera

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Edu Gallardo

CF Talavera

6.9

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

CF Talavera 36% Real Madrid 64%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

16 Shots 25

5 On Target 9

Form Context

CF Talavera

W W L

Real Madrid

W L

Smart Insight

Real Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Real Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.8%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 37.8%

Expected Goals 1.60 - 1.63

Qualification %

CF Talavera 0.0%

Real Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

35 Possession 65

5 Shots 9

16 Shots 25

2 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 6

5 Shots On Goal 9

16 Total Shots 25

35 Ball Possession 65

241 Passes Accurate 535

303 Total Passes 587

80% Passes % 91%

3 Blocked Shots 10

6 Goalkeeper Saves 3

11 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 11

12 Shots Insidebox 13

4 Shots Outsidebox 12

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

CF Talavera — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix Roig	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	59	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Arturo Molina Tornero	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	13	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bilal Ouacharaf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Cuenca	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	45	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Edu Gallardo	1	2	1	1	10	7	1	1	True	77	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Fran Rodríguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo Di Renzo	0	1	-	1	12	6	2	1	False	90	7	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	24	-	-	-	2	5	2	1	-
👤 Isaiah Navarro	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	16	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	4	51	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	-
👤 Ivan Ayllon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaime González	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	3	6	-	-	9	-	17	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Sanchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Manuel Farrando	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	23	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	8	2	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Marcos Moreno	0	1	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	69	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	14	1	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Nahuel Arroyo	0	2	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	31	15	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	1	12	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Pedro Capó	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	45	18	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Roberto Doncel	0	1	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	3	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Rodrigo Rocafort	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergi Molina	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	45	5	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Sergio Montero	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	21	21	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro López	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	4	-	-

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	13	G	7	False	0	2	3	-	-	21	-	25	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	1	1	1	5	3	-	-	False	77	15	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	2	79	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	14	M	6.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	86	19	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	1	83	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 David Jiménez	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	35	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	59	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	24	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	78	1	84	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Endrick	0	2	-	1	9	5	2	4	False	77	9	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	21	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Fran García	0	-	1	-	5	1	-	1	False	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	2	60	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	1	-	-	10	3	1	1	False	66	30	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	31	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Gonzalo García	0	1	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	90	16	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	1	23	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Javier Navarro Jimenez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joan Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge Cestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	28	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	13	5	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	2	1	-	4	-	-	-	False	90	10	F	8	False	0	0	-	2	-	32	2	39	-	-	1	-	4	6	-	-	-
👤 Rodrygo	0	1	-	1	4	2	-	1	False	24	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Pitarch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Víctor Valdepeñas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	-	1	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	18	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	61	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	1

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: CF Talavera and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club		5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera	2-3	3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid	2-3	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

CF Talavera

0.0%

Real Madrid

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.8%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

37.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

CF Talavera 1.60

Real Madrid 1.63

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

CF Talavera

Real Madrid

Estadio El Prado

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)