Ourense CF vs Athletic Club - Football Platform

AET

Copa del Rey

Athletic Club

105' M. Jauregizar

18 Dec 2025

19:00

Estadio O Couto

Stadium

Estadio O Couto

Ourense

Score Summary

Ourense CF

0 1

AET HT 0–0

Athletic Club

105' M. Jauregizar

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

54% Win

Ourense CF 1510 1504 ▼ -5

46% Win

Athletic Club 1483 1493 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Ourense CF 0.00 -0.01 ▼ -0.01

37% Win

Athletic Club 0.14 0.06 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Alberto Sánchez

Ourense CF

8.3

8.3 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Mikel Jauregizar

Athletic Club

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Gorka Guruzeta

Athletic Club

5.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Andoni Gorosabel

Athletic Club

7.3

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Ourense CF 12% Athletic Club 88%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

6 Shots 29

1 On Target 7

Form Context

Ourense CF

W W L

Athletic Club

W W W L L

Smart Insight

Athletic Club carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Athletic Club produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Athletic Club after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.9%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 36.7%

Expected Goals 1.63 - 1.60

Qualification %

Ourense CF 0.0%

Athletic Club 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona	12	W W W L W

47 Possession 53

1 Shots 7

6 Shots 29

4 Offsides 2

3 Shots Off Goal 13

1 Shots On Goal 7

6 Total Shots 29

47 Ball Possession 53

281 Passes Accurate 334

443 Total Passes 488

63% Passes % 68%

2 Blocked Shots 9

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

22 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 11

4 Shots Insidebox 22

2 Shots Outsidebox 7

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Ourense CF — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Guerrero	0	4	-	1	8	4	-	-	False	51	21	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Adrián Pérez	1	2	-	1	13	7	1	-	False	120	14	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Aitor Aranzabe	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	69	11	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Alberto Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	120	13	G	8.3	False	0	1	6	-	-	34	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Amin Bouzaig	0	3	1	1	14	4	6	1	False	89	7	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	3	12	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Aymane Jelbat	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	31	12	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 César Moreno	0	1	1	-	8	4	-	-	False	59	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 David Muñoz	1	2	-	1	13	6	2	2	False	59	16	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 David Rabadán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Enol Coto	1	-	1	-	14	8	3	2	False	120	2	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	6
👤 Fran Carmona	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	True	120	4	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	1
👤 Hugo Sanz	0	4	-	-	13	3	3	-	False	120	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Iker Punzano	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	15	23	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jerin Ramos	0	6	1	3	19	8	1	-	False	105	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	5
👤 Juan Piera	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	2	False	31	15	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Kensley Vázquez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Camus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miguel Prado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nacho Castillo	0	2	-	2	7	4	-	1	False	61	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Omar Ouhdadi	0	6	1	1	20	10	-	1	False	89	17	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Álvaro Ratón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Yuste	0	-	2	-	17	9	4	1	False	61	22	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	5

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	1	1	1	7	4	1	-	False	90	19	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	27	3	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Aitor Paredes	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	30	4	D	7.2	True	1	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	1	2	3	1	16	10	1	2	False	120	30	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	32	1	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	5
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	27	G	6.6	False	0	1	-	-	7	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	2	1	-	19	10	-	-	False	89	2	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	31	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 Daniel Vivian	0	-	-	-	16	10	3	3	False	120	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	28	-	44	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	6
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	3	1	-	16	5	1	1	False	120	11	F	5.6	False	0	-	-	-	24	4	30	-	-	-	1	5	-	2	1
👤 Iker Monreal Agundez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñaki Williams	0	2	-	-	10	6	-	1	True	63	9	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesús Areso	0	1	-	-	6	5	-	2	False	31	12	D	7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	1	1	-	-	8	3	2	-	False	57	18	M	8	True	0	-	1	-	25	2	38	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	2
👤 Mikel Vesga	1	1	2	1	10	4	2	1	False	63	6	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	28	1	40	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Nico Serrano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	0	8	1	2	13	5	1	2	False	51	10	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Oihan Sancet	0	7	1	1	19	8	-	3	False	98	8	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	28	3	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	22	20	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	0	2	-	-	7	4	1	1	False	69	25	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Álex Berenguer	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	1	False	57	7	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	1	15	-	23	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	1	-	-	10	7	-	1	False	120	15	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	35	1	54	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Ourense CF and Athletic Club

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Real Sociedad		8	6	2	0	16	7	9	20	D W W W D
2	Atletico Madrid		6	4	1	1	15	7	8	13	W W W L D
3	Alaves		5	4	0	1	15	3	12	12	W W W W L
4	Valencia		5	4	0	1	12	3	9	12	W W W W L
5	Real Betis		5	4	0	1	15	8	7	12	W W W W L
6	Barcelona		5	4	0	1	9	5	4	12	W W W L W
7	Osasuna		4	3	1	0	16	7	9	10	W W W D
8	Albacete		5	3	1	1	11	7	4	10	W W D W L
9	Rayo Vallecano		4	3	0	1	11	5	6	9	W W W L
10	Deportivo La Coruna		4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	W W W L
11	Elche		4	3	0	1	8	3	5	9	W W W L
12	Cultural Leonesa		4	3	0	1	11	7	4	9	W W W L
13	Racing Santander		4	3	0	1	8	4	4	9	W W W L
14	Burgos		4	3	0	1	6	4	2	9	W W W L
15	Athletic Club	0-1	5	3	0	2	7	6	1	9	W W W L L
16	Getafe		3	2	0	1	15	5	10	6	W W L
17	Palma del Rio		3	2	0	1	11	7	4	6	W W L
18	Sant Just		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
19	Eibar		3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	W W L
20	CF Talavera		3	2	0	1	8	5	3	6	W W L
21	Granada CF		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
22	Huesca		3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	W W L
23	Sevilla		3	2	0	1	6	3	3	6	W W L
24	Ourense CF	0-1	3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
25	Eldense		3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	W W L
26	Mallorca		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
27	Atlético Baleares		3	2	0	1	5	3	2	6	W W L
28	Levante		3	2	0	1	5	4	1	6	W W L
29	Sporting Gijon		3	2	0	1	3	2	1	6	W W L
30	Guadalajara		3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6	W W L
31	CD Sant Jordi		3	2	0	1	4	6	-2	6	W W L
32	Celta Vigo		3	1	2	0	4	2	2	5	W D D
33	Villarreal		3	1	1	1	7	2	5	4	W D L
34	Puerto de Vega		3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	W D L
35	Sant Andreu		2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	W D
36	Antoniano		2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	W D
37	Real Murcia		3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4	D W L
38	Maracena		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
39	CD Yuncos		3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	D W L
40	Deportivo Getxo		3	1	1	1	2	8	-6	4	D W L
41	Inter de Valdemoro		3	1	1	1	4	13	-9	4	D W L
42	Tenerife		2	1	0	1	4	1	3	3	W L
43	FC Andorra		2	1	0	1	7	5	2	3	W L
44	Numancia		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
45	Leganes		2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	W L
46	Cadiz		2	1	0	1	5	4	1	3	W L
47	Extremadura 1924		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
48	Ponferradina		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
49	Malaga		2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	W L
50	Zaragoza		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
51	Almeria		2	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	W L
52	AD Ceuta FC		2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	W L
53	SD Negreira		3	1	0	2	5	5	0	3	L W L
54	Real Madrid		2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3	W L
55	Girona		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
56	Navalcarnero		2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	W L
57	Manises		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
58	FC Cartagena		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
59	Real Ávila		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
60	Espanyol		2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	W L
61	Cieza		2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	W L
62	Torrent		2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3	W L
63	Sabadell		2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	W L
64	Portugalete		2	1	0	1	1	3	-2	3	W L
65	Textil Escudo		2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3	W L
66	Los Garres		3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	L W L
67	Tarazona		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
68	Atlético Astorga		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
69	Europa Fc		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
70	UD Ourense		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
71	Ibiza		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
72	Antequera		1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	D
73	Langreo		1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	D
74	Quintanar del Rey		2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	D L
75	Betis Valladolid		2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	D L
76	Ebro		2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	D L
77	Universitario FC		2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	D L
78	Sporting Ceuta		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
79	Mirandes		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
80	Reddis		2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	D L
81	Campanario		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
82	Racing Ferrol		2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	D L
83	Pontevedra		2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	D L
84	Alberite		2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	L D
85	Orihuela		1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	L
86	Constància		1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	L
87	Atlético Tordesillas		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
88	Cacereño		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
89	Poblense		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
90	Mérida AD		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
91	Teruel		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
92	Atlètic Lleida		1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	L
93	Cordoba		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
94	Valladolid		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
95	Caudal		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
96	Puente Genil		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
97	Real Avilés		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
98	Castellón		1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
99	Oviedo		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
100	Náxara		1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	L
101	Ucam Murcia		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
102	Tropezón		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
103	Las Palmas		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
104	Mutilvera		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
105	Juventud Torremolinos		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
106	Real Jaén		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
107	UD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
108	Estepona		1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
109	La Unión Atlético		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
110	Lorca Deportiva		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
111	Gimnastic		1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L
112	Lourdes		2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	L L
113	Rayo Majadahonda		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
114	Toledo		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
115	Azuaga		1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L
116	San Fernando CD		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
117	Utebo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
118	Arenas Getxo		1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	L
119	Roda		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
120	Valle Egüés		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
121	Sámano		1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0	L
122	SD Logroñés		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
123	RSD Alcalá		1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	L
124	Atletico Calatayud		2	0	0	2	1	7	-6	0	L L
125	Ciudad de Lucena		1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	L
126	Atlético Melilla		2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	L L

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Ourense CF

0.0%

Athletic Club

100.0%

Match Type: Single match knockout

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.9%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

36.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Ourense CF 1.63

Athletic Club 1.60

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Ourense CF

Athletic Club

Estadio O Couto

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)